Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.019713 0.021261 0.022873 0.024677 0.026642 0.028718 0.031081
2025-11-09 0.016876 0.019057 0.021446 0.024262 0.027499 0.031110 0.035455
2025-11-16 0.014961 0.017474 0.020333 0.023835 0.028026 0.032898 0.039017
2025-11-23 0.013716 0.016464 0.019687 0.023762 0.028803 0.034867 0.042764
2025-11-30 0.012670 0.015564 0.019047 0.023572 0.029332 0.036471 0.046063
2025-12-07 0.011830 0.014831 0.018527 0.023444 0.029868 0.038043 0.049344
2025-12-14 0.011083 0.014152 0.018008 0.023251 0.030261 0.039401 0.052371
2025-12-21 0.010533 0.013678 0.017708 0.023299 0.030940 0.041132 0.055957
2025-12-28 0.009975 0.013156 0.017302 0.023163 0.031335 0.042470 0.059043
2026-01-04 0.009513 0.012731 0.016994 0.023129 0.031846 0.043966 0.062408
2026-01-11 0.009139 0.012401 0.016791 0.023214 0.032510 0.045691 0.066178
2026-01-18 0.008771 0.012056 0.016544 0.023215 0.033039 0.047228 0.069736
2026-01-25 0.008393 0.011694 0.016274 0.023197 0.033580 0.048872 0.073665
2026-02-01 0.007921 0.011177 0.015759 0.022795 0.033530 0.049637 0.076291
2026-02-08 0.007488 0.010693 0.015267 0.022394 0.033449 0.050334 0.078836
2026-02-15 0.007183 0.010381 0.015007 0.022325 0.033865 0.051809 0.082713
2026-02-22 0.006872 0.010044 0.014692 0.022148 0.034093 0.052985 0.086151
2026-03-01 0.006598 0.009750 0.014426 0.022029 0.034398 0.054289 0.089874
2026-03-08 0.006329 0.009448 0.014132 0.021849 0.034587 0.055401 0.093320
2026-03-15 0.006131 0.009249 0.013986 0.021894 0.035142 0.057144 0.097972
2026-03-22 0.005906 0.008996 0.013743 0.021767 0.035396 0.058382 0.101787
2026-03-29 0.005716 0.008790 0.013565 0.021734 0.035805 0.059898 0.106197
2026-04-05 0.005561 0.008634 0.013458 0.021814 0.036405 0.061774 0.111390